How many times have you heard at the airport : "The plane is
overbooked"
To the average person this sounds ridiculous. Why would they
sell more
tickets than seats on the plane? The answer to this business
practice
lies within a binomial experiment exhibited by the following
fictitious
problem:
An airline sells 15 tickets for a small plane with 12
seats. Overbooking is a common practice at this airline since
only 80%
of passengers that book and pay for a flight usually show up.
Even
though tickets are non-refundable, the airline wants to make
more money.
N = number of tickets sold
p = probability a passenger shows up
q = probability a passenger does not show up.
FIVE Part Posting Assignment
Part 1: Fill in the Blanks
N = _____, p = _____, q = _____
Part 2:
Find the probability exactly 12 passengers show up
(Must show work and/or calculator function and numbers
used for your answer)
Part 3:
Find the probability more than 12 passengers show
up
(Must show work and/or calculator function and numbers
used for your answer)
Part 4:
Find the probability less than 12 passengers show
up
(Must show work and/or calculator function and numbers
used for your answer)
Part 5: Using your statistical and numerical
findings above, write a statement (small letter) to the President
of the Airline Company with your statistical recommendation for
continuing, discontinuing, or changing their overbooking
policy. give reason for your recommendation. Be
clear. Your statement should also include other
considerations to take into account that may need further study.
OTHER INFORMATION
(Work Hint: I am looking for calculations and
work such as the calculations presented in the video link for
section 4.2 in the Instructor Comments. Instead of "oatmeal
raisin cookies", you will do some calculations relating to this
airlines example).
PLEASE SHOW WORK!!!!!












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